Wednesday Evening Tropical Update
We’ll see some small, longer period waves trying to show up tomorrow that are unrelated to any tropical activity. Won’t be much to it but we’ll be keeping an eye on it just in case it’s bigger than expected. Tropical Depression #9 is getting ready to cross the Yucatan Peninsula and will be entering the NW Caribbean. The jury is still out on how quickly it will intensify once it gets in the Caribbean and whether it will come in the Gulf. The GFS model is very aggressive with significantly strengthening this system over the NW Caribbean between Sunday and Tuesday as it tracks slowly northward from the NW Caribbean on Sunday to the SE Gulf of Mexico by Tuesday. The GFS model forecasts that this system will impact the Florida Peninsula as probably a hurricane around Wednesday. It is noted that not all the models are agreeing with this scenario.
3:20 pm Wednesday Update
Pensacola Beach is basically flat. Jax Bch is 1-2 feet and choppy from a side shore wind.