Wednesday Evening Tropical Update

We’ll see some small, longer period waves trying to show up tomorrow that are unrelated to any tropical activity. Won’t be much to it but we’ll be keeping an eye on it just in case it’s bigger than expected. Tropical Depression #9 is getting ready to cross the Yucatan Peninsula and will be entering the NW Caribbean. The jury is still out on how quickly it will intensify once it gets in the Caribbean and whether it will come in the Gulf. The GFS model is very aggressive with significantly strengthening this system over the NW Caribbean between Sunday and Tuesday as it tracks slowly northward from the NW Caribbean on Sunday to the SE Gulf of Mexico by Tuesday. The GFS model forecasts that this system will impact the Florida Peninsula as probably a hurricane around Wednesday. It is noted that not all the models are agreeing with this scenario.

 

3:20 pm Wednesday Update

Pensacola Beach is basically flat. Jax Bch is 1-2 feet and choppy from a side shore wind.
Tom

First Light Surf Report

Sunny todayAnother great day with cool morning temps around 60° and low humidity. When’s the last time you remember this many sunny days in a row? There’s no surfable waves this morning but we’ll see some small waves soon. The tide will be low at 7:12 am and High @ 10:45 pm. Today’s going to be a sunny one. High 79°. Winds NNE at 10 to 15 mph.

First Light Surf Forecast

No waves today but we will see some small, longer period waves Thursday through Saturday. We do have Tropical Depression #9 that’s formed in the Bay of Campeche overnight and it’s likely to become a Tropical Storm later today before reaching the Yucatan Peninsula tonight. We may not be done with this storm once it goes inland… be sure to check our Tropical Weather Page.

No waves today
Small waves tomorrow through Saturday
Tropical Depression #9 is alive
Likely to become TS Hannah
Storm could enter Gulf later

IMG_4293.JPG

Evening Invest 93L Update

Showers and thunderstorms associated with Invest 93L have not become any better organized during the past few hours. However, upper-level winds could become more favorable for development later tonight and Wednesday, and Invest 93L has the potential to become a tropical depression/storm before it moves inland over the Mexican state of Campeche late Wednesday or early Thursday. Later in the week, tropical cyclone formation appears unlikely due to interaction with a cold front while the system is over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. However once the conditions change there is a possibility that this storm could begin moving towards Florida.

* Tropical formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent.
* Tropical formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent.

3 pm Tuesday Update

IMG_8346.JPG

 

Tuesday First Light Report

There are no surfable waves today and none are expected but things are getting interesting in the Bay of Campeche so the forecast could change depending on 93L’s future progress. The tide will be low at 6:27 am. High tide @ 10:39 pm. Yet another day of abundant sunshine. High temp 81°. Winds NNE at 5 to 10 mph. A minor, surfless cold front is headed our way… expect cooler temps tomorrow.

Tuesday Surf Forecast

Our next chance of waves will come on Thursday when we’ll see some small, longer period waves from the south that will continue into the weekend. More small waves will appear early next week. Things are getting interesting in the Bay of Campeche with Invest 93L still showing potential for development. The surf forecast could change rapidly depending on 93L’s development. Visit our Tropical Weather Page for more info.

Tuesday Morning Slideshow

No waves to surf today
A great Fall day
Nothing much here
Waves coming Thursday
Light offshore winds
Come on Invest 93L... build

Tuesday Morning Video Report

Monday 4 pm Update

There’s no waves in Pensacola but in the Bay of Campeche Invest 93L is getting better organized and just may strengthen into Tropical Storm Hannah by mid-week. The computer models are having problems agreeing on where this storm will head and when but there’s a good chance it will enter the southern Gulf of Mexico and if all goes well… we’re gonna get some waves. Keep your fingers and toes crossed.

 

Monday 1:30 pm Update

No waves in Pensacola today.
Small choppy waves in Jax Beach, but definitely not worth driving over for.
T. Huts

First Light Surf Report

Sunny todayAnother gorgeous Fall day but there are no waves to be ridden this morning and none are expected today, however, that could be changing soon because we have some possible tropical mischief brewing in the Bay of Campeche (see the smooth forecast). Our tides are NEAP today. Mostly sunny skies. Crisp air with low humidity. Highs temps in the upper 70s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph becoming south in the afternoon.

Smooooth Forecast

We’re keeping a sharp eye on the Bay of Campeche/Southern Gulf. Invest 93L has formed and is located over the extreme SW Bay of Campeche and it is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some gradual development of this system is likely during the next several days while it moves E→NE. Regardless of what this storm does we will see some waves on Thursday through Saturday. See our TROPICAL WEATHER PAGE for more info.

Morning Pictures

Another beautimous day
Nothing to ride though
Nothing expected today
Waves by Thursday
All eyes are on the tropics

 

Monday Morning Video Report

Sunday Evening Update

POSSIBLE TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IN THE GULF? The Surf Smooth 7S Satellite is sounding an alarm indicating that we could see the development of a low pressure system over the Bay of Campeche or the southern Gulf of Mexico as soon as Tuesday or Wednesday. Computer models are beginning to agree that this low pressure system will develop into a tropical storm by the end of this week or next weekend. All of the models are forecasting that tropical storm development will happen later this week or next weekend as this low pressure system tracks into the central or eastern Gulf of Mexico. It is way too early to determine how strong this potential tropical storm will get or where it will impact. At this point we’ll just have to wait an see what develops but everyone from Louisiana eastward to Florida should keep close tabs on this possible development.

Sunday 2 pm Update

The winds have dropped, the air has warmed up and it’s a great beach day. There are some little shin high bumps that are just big enough to push a SUPer with a good imagination.

First Light Surf Report

partlycloudyAnother cold front has moved through so when you step outside you’ll notice it’s a bit cooler out this morning. The 10-15 mph NE winds are making it feel even cooler. There are no waves to be ridden. The tides are NEAP today. Some clouds this morning will give way to generally sunny skies for the afternoon. High 77°. Winds NE at 10 to 15 mph.

Smooooth Forecast

We’ll be keeping a sharp eye on the Gulf just in case something tries to wrap in from the strong NE winds we’re experiencing today. Otherwise, nothing but small waves until Thursday when our next chance of real waves will come. If we get lucky we could see small but surfable waves Thursday continuing through next weekend.

Sunday Slide Report

No waves today
It's cooler out
Strong NE winds
Waves coming Thursday

Sunday Video Report